If even half of these games decided by nothing went the other way, the Pies would barely be a footnote on the season. Sydney's chances were dampened last week in a blowout loss to St Kilda, but from a betting perspective, this does set up one of the most profitable plays of the entire season. Pies set for high-stakes afl clash royale. Brisbane's record in finals since 2019 is 1-5, and although they will host on Friday night, as far as the bookmakers are concerned, they are underdogs against the Tigers. The Saints have some injury concerns to address this week with Dan Hannebery exiting early against Geelong, while recent history isn't exactly on their side, either. All 11 of those wins have come by the narrowest of margins, but there's been plenty to like about Collingwood's fourth quarter resolve, as well as their outstanding defensive pressure when the game is on the line. West Coast Eagles 92 - Hawthorn 67.
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They have won only four of their past eight games as favourites for a clear loss and their record against the line in this scenario is a poor 2-6. The forward battle is key for either side on Sunday as both rank top five in average goals-per-game. It's the easiest mark he'll ever take, but he drops it! How they're able to build upon the season now wasted will be an interesting sub-plot in 2014. He has been a great contributor to our footy club for a decade, for his time, 199 games. EMG [8] Trent Bianco, [15] Nathan Kreuger, [17] Callum L. Brown, [18] Finlay Macrae. Pies set for high-stakes afl clash champions. Overall, the Dees should win this game comfortably, and it might just get out of hand if they find some accuracy in front of the sticks. Rewind to this top-of-the-table clash that would set the scene for the finals series to come. Up Next... Rewind to this nail biter between two powerhouses of the time. Richmond have now won only three of their past five games as away favourites, but they do have the same record against the line.
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Carlton have lost their past eight games, but they were still far from disgraced against the West Coast Eagles. The Crows have given it everything they've got in recent weeks as they and end the season on a high note. Heartbreak for Collingwood as Geelong clinch LAST-GASP victory in epic qualifying final at MCG. Buckley was encouraged by debutant Josh Daicos, the son of club great, Peter. Seven of the past nine games played between these two sides have gone over and with the Crows playing highly entertaining football they should be able to combine for more than 183. Rewind to this tantalising finish between the massively depleted Suns and all-powerful Eagles. Another year of 'failure' could also mean players look for greener pastures elsewhere... Jarryd Barca: I would have to say it's Brisbane simply because of their past results at this stage of the year.
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For the first time in their short history, the Power had the chance to win the minor premiership, but would have to go through a prime Brisbane outfit to do so. The gun half-forward racked up 31 disposals and a pair of goals earlier in June, and after a quiet week against the Suns, Friday nights game might be tailor-made for a bounce back performance. Jake Kolodjashnij's qualifying final is over because of a knee problem, with Mark O'Connor come into the game in his place. But I think there's merit to better utilising it now by introducing a pre-Grand Final bye, especially when you consider the mandatory 12-day concussion protocols and the potential for a superstar player to miss out and cost his club a premiership. As one of the worst disposal efficiency teams in the competition, the Demons will need to clean up their act against this West Coast midfield. Brayden Maynard puts enormous pressure on the Cats ball-carrier, before Nick Daicos tidies things up at the clearance to find De Goey. Sydney fought hard in the first quarter but managed only three goals between half time and the final siren. AFL Round Table The team with the most to lose this week. Sydney were able to put away St Kilda in very dominant fashion and coach John Longmire will be hopeful that his side can maintain that level of performance heading into the AFL Finals. Brisbane ran out comfortable 33-point winners over Carlton last Sunday at the Gabba, but head coach Chris Fagan knows his side still has plenty to work on after nearly letting a healthy lead slip late in the fourth quarter. There are now only two rounds left in the 2017 AFL regular season and there is still a great deal on the line. "In a night where a lot of Collingwood players have played well, Jordan De Goey, I think he's been the standout, " Jobe Watson said on Seven's coverage. The Crows come into this game with only two wins from their last 10 games, while the Dees have surged back to the top of the table following two key wins over the Suns and Eagles. This Friday night blockbuster wrote the next chapter in the legendary Hawks-Cats rivalry (aka the Kennett curse period).
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Heartbreak for Collingwood as Geelong clinch LAST-GASP victory in another MCG thriller to advance to the preliminary finals. The Giants and Tigers were two of the biggest winners to emerge from Round 21, setting up what is sure to be a hard-fought battle on Friday night at Marvel. It's a bit of a Friday fizzer, but with both sides looking to end the season on a high note, this cellar-dweller clash could produce a few fireworks. As the pressure on Fremantle escalated, wingman Blake Acres nursed a right knee concern after an earlier instance of friendly fire with teammate Andrew Brayshaw. They had also trailed Richmond and Sydney at quarter-time in recent weeks. Crows stay in top-four hunt after sneaking past Cats in a thriller. Same Game Multi: Crows 1-39, North Melbourne To Win 1st Quarter 9-16, 150 Or Below Total Match Points. Outgunned for much of the first half, the Dogs came charging home, invigorated by the spirit of their youthful list and freed of the pressure that a loss would have any bearing on their post-season.
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With five consecutive matches under a goal in the lead-up to the game (the most recent a one-point grand final), this match had intriguing written all over it. Adelaide produced another polished performance to get the job done against Essendon and they have not lost since they were beaten by Hawthorn in June. To their credit, the Cats also know how to handle the Lions at the Gabba having won four of their last five trips to Brisbane. Pies set for high-stakes afl clash 2018. "We didn't play that well but we found a way to win. 5 points will not be anywhere near enough.
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Not for the first time though, Brisbane's strong pressure fell away in the second half, and so did their goal scoring opportunities. The Power have defeated the Pies during their last two trips to the home of footy, and have also won six of their last seven games against Collingwood. Down the other end, Rory Lobb tried to respond but could only manage a behind from his first set shot of the evening. A record crowd of 54, 444 saw Michael Gardiner convert with a minute left to give the Saints the win. As far as the finals are concerned, this is a huge game with both clubs still looking a genuine chance. The Dons have plenty of injury issues to overcome, but there was no excuse for last week's mental lapse against the Bulldogs in what was supposed to be the biggest game of the round.
Foot skills have been shocking for the Saints all year, but last week in particular highlighted just how many position piece are missing on this team. This is just the second game that Hawthorn have started as underdogs in the past 12 months and they won both of those fixtures, while they have proven to be a profitable betting proposition away from home. If Brody Mihocek's goal didn't seal the match with a game-high 38-point lead with over a quarter still left to play, Mason Cox's first snag to start off the last term did. But inaccuracy allowed Justin Longmuir's men to hang around as Collingwood sprayed six behinds to take a 28-point advantage into half time. The last time Essendon defeated Fremantle in Perth was 2013, and since then, their most recent meetings have turned into relatively close affairs. Same Game Multi: Hawthorn 1-39, Paul Puopolo 2+ Goals, Under 173. It was an undoubtedly strange night at the 'G on Saturday. Likewise, North has been equally poor going 3-10 as the underdog during the same time frame.
Carlton has now lost two straight games, but there was plenty to take away from last week's loss to the Tigers. The Crows 68-point victory was their last at AAMI stadium. It is very difficult to split these two teams at Domain Stadium, but I have still found a value bet in this contest. Geelong's ball movement and ability to find targets inside 50 has been phenomenal as the season has worn on, and although the Suns have proven a tough team to beat at Metricon this year, it's hard to see them matching the Cats for a full four quarters. The Giants can also relate to coming back from the dead. The Power have also been somewhat unconvincing at the Adelaide Oval this season and they have lost their past four games as home favourites, while they are 1-3 against the line. Errant goal-kicking and struggles around the stoppages saw the Dons fall 27 points shy of the Giants last week, while the Power were also ordinary in similar areas against Richmond at home. Nicks' side still leads the league in tackles, and with goals suddenly coming rather easily, it's hard to fade the home side in what could be a late statement game. They move the ball at speed to find Josh Daicos in acres of space inside the 50s after three uncontested marks.
The stakes this week are high in what could turn out to be a finals preview. Collingwood, on the other hand, remains a mystery. 4 (28) result keeps the reigning premiers – who lost Randall to an ankle injury in last week's loss to Brisbane - in fourth (7-2, 28 premiership points) with one game to go in the regular season. Well, why did 17 of 18 qualifying final winners go on to win prelims between 2007-15, but just four of 10 since? Tip: Back Port Adelaide to Cover the Line (-31. His set shot drifts wide but drops right in the lap of Brody Mihocek, who stabs it home from close range. Losing by only 28-points to a premiership favourite is a win in itself, especially after heading into halftime with only one goal to their name. MW: Their style of game suits finals. Geelong did not make it look easy, but they eventually got the job done against Richmond last weekend. Winning at the Adelaide Oval is tough at the best of times, particularly against a Crows team that has applied tremendous pressure in recent weeks. The never-say-die Saints will be hoping to pick off another serious flag contender following last week's stunning blowout over the Swans.
They're a high-pressure outfit with a strong structure, and when they get looks at goal, they nail their chances.
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